2095-1124

CN 51-1738/F

数字经济驱动乡村振兴的组态路径研究基于省际面板数据的动态QCA分析

A Study on the Configurational Pathways of Rural Revitalization Driven by the Digital Economy: Based on Dynamic QCA Analysis of Inter-Provincial Panel Data

  • 摘要: 数字经济的多维要素是实现乡村振兴的重要抓手。文章基于我国31个省份2015—2020年的面板数据,采用动态QCA的方法对数字经济驱动乡村振兴的影响因素和组态路径进行实证研究。研究表明:数字经济的单一要素并不构成驱动乡村振兴的必要条件,但数字普惠金融的重要性逐年增加,呈明显的时间效应。组态分析发现:数字经济驱动乡村振兴存在“技术−组织规划型”和“技术−产业联动型”两条路径;时间维度上,两条路径的重要性除2017年有所下降外,其余年份总体呈上升趋势;空间维度上,东部地区主要遵循“技术−组织规划型”路径,中西部地区主要遵循“技术−产业联动型”路径,呈现明显的地区差异。最后提出持续推进乡村数字普惠金融的布局与发展,不断优化乡村数字治理体系和提升治理能力,促进数字技术要素与乡村产业的深度互融互嵌。

     

    Abstract: The multidimensional elements of the digital economy are crucial in achieving rural revitalization. This article, drawing on panel data from 31 provinces in China from 2015 to 2020, empirically studies the influencing factors and configurational pathways of rural revitalization driven by the digital economy using dynamic Qualitative Comparative Analysis (QCA). The study finds that no single element of the digital economy constitutes a necessary condition for driving rural revitalization. However, the significance of digital inclusive finance has been increasingly evident over the years, showing a clear time effect. Configurational analysis reveals two pathways: the “Technology-Organizational Planning” and the “Technology-Industry Linkage” pathways. Over time, the importance of these two pathways generally increased, except for a decline in 2017. Spatially, the eastern regions mainly follow the “Technology-Organizational Planning” pathway, while the central and western regions follow the “Technology-Industry Linkage” pathway, indicating significant regional differences. The study concludes by recommending the continuous advancement of the layout and development of rural digital inclusive finance, the constant optimization of the rural digital governance system, and the enhancement of governance capacity, to foster a deep integration of digital technology elements with rural industries.

     

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