2095-1124

CN 51-1738/F

长三角地区农村居民增收能力综合评价研究

Comprehensive Evaluation of Rural Residents’ Income Increasing Ability in the Yangtze River Delta

  • 摘要: 农村居民增收能力的测度与时空演变分析是研究农村居民增收与区域不均衡的重要方法。本文依据收入来源,综合选取16个指标构建农村居民增收能力评价指标体系,对2017—2019年长三角地区41个地级市的农村居民增收能力进行测度,并运用主成分—灰色关联度综合分析法、Dagum基尼系数及其子群分解法对长三角地区农村居民增收能力的时序演变和空间分布特征进行分析。结果显示:长三角地区农村居民增收能力总体呈逐年上升趋势,部分地区能力变现效率偏低;长三角地区农村居民增收能力具有显著的区域性差异,空间上呈东南向西北递减分布;长三角地区农村居民增收能力区域差异和不均衡性在逐年扩大,安徽省掉队现象日趋严重。

     

    Abstract: The measurement of rural residents’ income-increasing ability and the analysis of temporal and spatial evolution are important methods to study rural residents’ income increase and regional imbalance. Based on income sources, 16 indicators are selected to construct an evaluation index system for rural residents’ income-increasing ability, which measured the income-increasing ability of rural residents in 41 prefecture-level cities in the Yangtze River Delta from 2017 to 2019. Using the principal component-grey correlation degree comprehensive analysis method, the Dagum Gini coefficient and its subgroup decomposition method, the temporal evolution and spatial distribution characteristics of rural residents’ income-increasing ability in the Yangtze River Delta are analyzed. The results show that (1) the income-increasing ability of rural residents in the Yangtze River Delta is generally increasing year by year, and the realization efficiency of capacity in some areas is low; (2) The income-increasing ability of rural residents in the Yangtze River Delta has significant regional differences, with a decreasing distribution from southeast to northwest in space; (3) The regional differences and imbalances in the income-increasing capacity of rural residents in the Yangtze River Delta are expanding year by year, and the phenomenon of Anhui Province being left behind is becoming more and more serious.

     

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