2095-1124

CN 51-1738/F

绿色金融与战略性新兴产业的耦合协调:时空分异测度及机制实证

The Coupling Coordination of Green Finance and Strategic Emerging Industries: An Empirical Analysis of Spatio-temporal Heterogeneity Measurement and Mechanism

  • 摘要: 绿色金融是实现经济可持续发展的重要手段,战略性新兴产业是促进经济跃迁的主要动力,二者协同发展对推动经济高质量发展有着重要意义。文章对我国30个省份2010—2021年绿色金融与战略性新兴产业的耦合协调机理及时空动态演变进行实证研究。研究表明:(1)我国绿色金融与战略性新兴产业的耦合协调度随时间稳步上升,但目前尚未实现优质耦合协调,且多数区域的绿色金融发展水平领先于战略性新兴产业发展水平;(2)样本期内,各省份的耦合协调度在分布上呈极高和极低区域少而中等区域多的“橄榄”形结构;(3)各省份的耦合协调度在空间上呈“东高西低”的异质性发展格局;(4)在绿色金融与战略性新兴产业的耦合协调关系中,前者对后者的促进作用更为显著,且两系统的耦合协调度主要受地区经济发展水平、环境政策以及技术创新水平的影响。最后,文章提出进一步优化绿色金融环境、充分发挥两系统耦合协调度驱动因子作用、加快推进两系统区域协同发展等建议。

     

    Abstract: Green finance is a critical tool for achieving sustainable economic development, while strategic emerging industries serve as key drivers of leapfrog economic growth. The coordinated development of both is essential for promoting high-quality economic progress. This study empirically investigates the coupling coordination mechanism and spatiotemporal dynamic evolution of green finance and strategic emerging industries across 30 provinces in China from 2010 to 2021. The findings reveal that: (1) the coupling coordination degree between green finance and strategic emerging industries in China has steadily increased over time, though high-quality coordination has not yet been fully achieved. Additionally, in most regions, the development of green finance is ahead of that of strategic emerging industries; (2) over the sample period, the coupling coordination degree across provinces forms an “olive-shaped” pattern, with fewer regions at the extremes of the scale and more in the middle; (3) the coupling coordination degree follows a spatial distribution of “east-high, west-low,” indicating significant regional disparities; (4) in the coupling relationship, green finance has a more substantial positive impact on the development of strategic emerging industries. The degree of coupling coordination is primarily influenced by regional economic development, environmental policies, and technological innovation. Finally, the paper offers recommendations for optimizing the green finance environment, leveraging driving factors to enhance the coupling coordination of both systems, and accelerating their coordinated regional development.

     

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