1673-159X

CN 51-1686/N

初值修正灰色预测模型的等价性

Equivalence of Grey Prediction Model Based on Modified Initial Value

  • 摘要: 研究了初值修正灰色预测模型的等价性。通过分析各种灰色预测模型的解的结构, 证明初值修正分别为x(0)(1)+αβx(0)(1)的灰色预测模型的等价性只与模型的解的指数结构特征有关, 与背景值确定、模型参数估计等因素无关, 揭示出初值修正灰色预测模型等价性是灰色预测模型的一种内在特性。

     

    Abstract: The equivalence of grey prediction models based on modified initial values is studied in this paper. By analyzing the structure of solutions for some grey prediction models, the authors prove that equivalence of grey prediction models, which modified initial values are x(0) (1) + α and βx(0) (1), is related only with exponential structure of solutions, but has no influence on construction of background values and estimation of model parameters. The results reveal that the equivalence of grey prediction models based on modified initial values is an essential characteristic existed in grey prediction model.

     

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