1673-159X

CN 51-1686/N

基于随机参数模型的平面信控交叉口非机动车左转设施安全分析

Safety Analysis of Non-motorized Left Turning Facilities at Plane Signal Control Intersection Based on Stochastic Parameter Model

  • 摘要: 城市平面信控交叉口非机动车左转驾驶违法行为是路口发生交通事故的关键原因之一。针对非机动车左转现象,研究平面信控交叉口中非机动车的左转设施对信控交叉口交通安全性的影响。以盐城市平面信控交叉口为例,提取5个信控交叉口约50 h的视频数据,利用统计学的方法构建随机参数泊松交通冲突模型,分析左转非机动车的左转车速、左转交通量、左转间距、中心圈、机动车的左转导行线和交通冲突的关系。结果表明:左转车速、左转交通量、左转间距、中心圈4个变量系数估计结果参数服从正态分布;左转导行线、中心圈可显著降低交通冲突;左转车速、左转交通量和左转交通冲突呈现出显著正相关关系。

     

    Abstract: The non-motorized left-turn driving violations at the city-level letter-controlled intersection are one of the key causes of traffic accidents. To this end, this work will study the impact of the left-turn facilities of non-motor vehicles in the plane-signalized intersection on the traffic safety of the signal-controlled intersections. For the Yancheng Plane Signal Control Intersection, we extracted video data from 5 signal-controlled intersections for about 50 hours, and used statistical methods to construct a traffic conflict model. By establishing a random parameter Poisson traffic conflict model, the relationship between traffic conflict and left-turn non-motorized left-turn speed, left-turn traffic volume, left-turn distance, center circle, left turn guide line of motor vehicle was analyzed. The results show that the parameters of the left-turn speed, left-turn traffic volume, left-turning distance and the central circle are estimated to follow a normal distribution, and turning the guide line and the center circle to the left can significantly reduce traffic conflicts, and there is a significant positive correlation between left-turn speed, left-turn traffic and left-turn traffic conflicts.

     

/

返回文章
返回