1673-159X

CN 51-1686/N

基于AHP -云模型的土石坝老化病害风险评价

Aging-injuring Risk Analysis of Earth-rock Dam Based on AHP-Cloud Model

  • 摘要: 针对土石坝老化病害过程的不确定性和复杂性, 建立AHP-云模型进行土石坝老化病害风险评价。综合考虑溃坝损失, 运用AHP建立具有多个层次的土石坝老化病害风险评价指标体系, 运用云模型对比标度构造判断矩阵定量确定指标层、因子层、评语集的云模型特征参数, 辩识土石坝老化病害风险程度。对加固前后的沙河集水库大坝状态因子进行评分, 计算总评云模型特征参数, 完成加固前后的水库大坝老化病害风险程度的定量评价, 评价结果符合工程实际, 并可指导水库的除险加固。

     

    Abstract: For uncertainty and complexity of earth-rock dam aging damage process, AHP-cloud model was applied to finish ageing-injuring risk evaluation of earth-rock dam. First, AHP was used to construct the index system with multiple levels of ageing-injuring risk evaluation about earth-rock dam considering dam-break loss. The cloud model characteristic parameters of index layer and factor layer and comment set were processed quantitatively through established judgment matrix based on contrast scale of cloud model, to identify aging risk degree of earth-rock dam. Finally, every status factor of Shaheji reservoir dam before and after reinforcement was graded respectively and the characteristic parameters of general comment cloud model were calculated, then finished quantitatively the aging risk degree evaluation of earth-rock dam. The results show that this method of aging-injuring risk analysis is feasible and can be used in engineering.

     

/

返回文章
返回