1673-159X

CN 51-1686/N

客运专线修建后城际旅客出行方式选择的变化

Changes in Trip Mode Chosen By Inter-city Passengers after Dedicated-passengers Line Constructed

  • 摘要: 在分析影响旅客出行方式选择行为因素的基础上,根据Logit模型,选择经济性、快速性、方便性、舒适度、安全性为5个衡量指标并建立其广义费用函数,推导出客运专线修建前后城际旅客对各出行方式选择变化的计算模型,利用相关研究结果和极大似然估计法,确定模型参数。最后以郑西客运专线为例进行了模拟计算。结果表明,客运专线的技术经济特征决定了其能够给城际旅客带来较高的效用,客运专线修建后,选择铁路出行的城际旅客比例将大大提高。

     

    Abstract: The objective of this paper is to predict the changes of trip mode chosen by inter-city passengers.Based on Logit model,in which economy,speediness,convenience,comfort and safety are selected as its targets and the utility function is established,the authors develop a calculating model of inter–city passengers trip mode split behavior varies.At last,the passenger-dedicated line between Zhengzhou and xi,an is taken as an example,an imitation calculation is conducted.The result indicates that the passenger–dedicated line,seconomy character determines the larger effectiveness it can provide to the passengers.When the passenger-dedicated line is constructed,the proportion of the passengers choosing railway as their travel means will greatly increase.

     

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