Abstract: With the frequent occurrence of natural disasters in China in recent years, disaster education is necessary for primary school pupils. Based on the field research data, this paper comprehensively analyzes the state of pupils' sources of disaster prediction with the Logit Regression Model. The findings are that self-education, school education, media education have a significant effect on pupils' sources of disaster prediction. Thus, the suggestion is put forward that school education plays an essential role in improving pupils' disaster prevention skills.