1672-8505

CN 51-1675/C

欠发达地区财政支出结构优化的实证分析——基于1999—2011年辽西北地区的数据

Empirical Analysis of Structural Optimization of Fiscal Expenditure in Underdeveloped Areas——Based on the Data of Northwestern Liaoning (1999-2011)

  • 摘要: 本文基于Barro (1990) 的经济增长理论, 推导出最优财政支出结构模型, 并运用辽西北地区阜新、铁岭、朝阳三个市1999—2011年的数据对模型作了实证检验。结果显示出三个市的政府财政支出结构都不尽合理: 阜新市和朝阳市社会保障类支出不足; 铁岭市的经济建设类支出、科教文卫类支出、行政管理类支出都低于理论最优值; 朝阳市除了需要压缩经济建设类支出以外, 其他资金投入都低于理论最优水平。基于此, 本文提出优化地方财政支出结构的几点建议, 进而最大限度地促进当地经济增长。

     

    Abstract: Based on Barro's (1990) theory of economic growth, this article deduces a model for optimal fiscal expenditure structure and applies the model to data (1999-2011) of northwestern Liaoning (Fuxin, Tieling, Chaoyang). The results showed that the fiscal expenditure structure is not reasonable in the three local governments: Investment of social security expenditure is inadequate in Fuxin and Chaoyang; Economic construction expenditures, science and education expenditures and administrative expenditures are lower than the theoretical optimal value in Tieling; Except the expenditure in economic construction, other capital investments are lower than the theoretical optimal value. Based on this, the essay makes a number of policy recommendations to optimize local fiscal expenditure structure to promote local economic growth.

     

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