1672-8505

CN 51-1675/C

夏伦 生产性服务业集聚促进了制造业转型升级吗?—基于空间面板模型的实证分析[J 西华大学学报(哲学社会科学版),2020,39(1):92 − 101 . doi: 10.12189/j.issn.1672-8505.2020.01.010
引用本文: 夏伦 生产性服务业集聚促进了制造业转型升级吗?—基于空间面板模型的实证分析[J 西华大学学报(哲学社会科学版),2020,39(1):92 − 101 . doi: 10.12189/j.issn.1672-8505.2020.01.010
XIA Lun. Does the Agglomeration of Productive Services Promote the Transformation and Upgrading of Manufacturing Industry?An Empirical Analysis Based on Spatial Panel Model[J]. Journal of Xihua University (Philosophy & Social Sciences) , 2020, 39(1): 92-101. DOI: 10.12189/j.issn.1672-8505.2020.01.010
Citation: XIA Lun. Does the Agglomeration of Productive Services Promote the Transformation and Upgrading of Manufacturing Industry?An Empirical Analysis Based on Spatial Panel Model[J]. Journal of Xihua University (Philosophy & Social Sciences) , 2020, 39(1): 92-101. DOI: 10.12189/j.issn.1672-8505.2020.01.010

生产性服务业集聚促进了制造业转型升级吗?基于空间面板模型的实证分析

Does the Agglomeration of Productive Services Promote the Transformation and Upgrading of Manufacturing Industry?An Empirical Analysis Based on Spatial Panel Model

  • 摘要: 产业结构转型升级是我国未来经济保持健康稳定发展的必然要求。文章利用我国2003—2016年31个省(自治区、直辖市)(港澳台地区除外)的面板数据,采用空间面板滞后效应模型分析生产性服务业集聚对制造业转型升级的影响。研究表明:第一,我国生产性服务业集聚程度和制造业转型升级均存在空间相关效应,即某地区的生产性服务业集聚程度显著影响周边地区的生产性服务业集聚程度,其制造业转型升级情况也显著影响周边地区的制造业转型升级;第二,某地区的生产性服务业集聚程度对相邻地区的制造业转型升级存在显著影响,相邻地区的制造业转型升级情况对本地区的制造业转型升级存在显著影响,但本地区的生产性服务业集聚程度对本地区的制造业转型升级并不存在显著影响,原因可能是两者之间存在门限效应;第三,从控制变量来看,其中交通便利度和政府行为对制造业转型升级存在显著影响。

     

    Abstract: The transformation and upgrading of industrial structure is an inevitable requirement for China’s economy to maintain healthy and stable development in the future. Using the panel data of 31 provinces in China from 2003 to 2016, this paper uses spatial panel hysteresis model to analyze the impact of the agglomeration of producer services on the transformation and upgrading of manufacturing. The research shows that there is a spatial correlation effect on both the agglomeration of productive service industry and manufacturing transformation in China. That is to say, the concentration of productive service industry in a certain area significantly affects the concentration of productive service industries in the surrounding areas. The transformation and upgrading of manufacturing industry significantly affects the transformation and upgrading of manufacturing industries in the surrounding areas. At the same time, the concentration of productive service industries in a certain region is adjacent to the transformation and upgrading of regional manufacturing industry has a significant impact. The transformation and upgrading of manufacturing in neighboring regions has a significant impact on the transformation and upgrading of manufacturing in the region. However, the concentration of producer services in the region does not have a significant impact on the transformation and upgrading of the manufacturing industry. The reason may be that there is a threshold effect between the two. From the perspective of control variables, transportation convenience and government behavior have a significant impact on the transformation and upgrading of the manufacturing industry.

     

/

返回文章
返回