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罗杨帆,赵智. 独生父母愿意打破代际传递生育多孩吗?—基于成渝地区476份调查问卷的分析[J]. 西华大学学报(哲学社会科学版),2023,42(5):68 − 78 . doi: 10.12189/j.issn.1672-8505.2023.05.008
引用本文: 罗杨帆,赵智. 独生父母愿意打破代际传递生育多孩吗?—基于成渝地区476份调查问卷的分析[J]. 西华大学学报(哲学社会科学版),2023,42(5):68 − 78 . doi: 10.12189/j.issn.1672-8505.2023.05.008
LUO Yang-fan, ZHAO Zhi. Will Couples Who Are the Only One Child Break the Intergenerational Transmission to Have More Children?An Analysis Based on 476 Questionnaires in Chengdu and Chongqing[J]. Journal of Xihua University (Philosophy & Social Sciences) , 2023, 42(5): 68-78. DOI: 10.12189/j.issn.1672-8505.2023.05.008
Citation: LUO Yang-fan, ZHAO Zhi. Will Couples Who Are the Only One Child Break the Intergenerational Transmission to Have More Children?An Analysis Based on 476 Questionnaires in Chengdu and Chongqing[J]. Journal of Xihua University (Philosophy & Social Sciences) , 2023, 42(5): 68-78. DOI: 10.12189/j.issn.1672-8505.2023.05.008

独生父母愿意打破代际传递生育多孩吗?基于成渝地区476份调查问卷的分析

Will Couples Who Are the Only One Child Break the Intergenerational Transmission to Have More Children?An Analysis Based on 476 Questionnaires in Chengdu and Chongqing

  • 摘要: 普遍认为独生父母群体更易陷入理想家庭规模不断缩小的低生育率陷阱,文章基于成渝地区476份调查问卷的数据,聚焦独生父母的生育意愿,从经济因素、社会因素、代际支持和文化观念四个维度全面考察独生父母再生育意愿的影响因素。研究发现:生育观念随经济社会的发展而转变,当代独生父母选择再生育的最主要原因是“喜爱孩子,子女有伴”,而“养儿防老”观念淡化。同时,独生父母再生育意愿低但有上升潜力,大部分已育独生父母的生育理想和生育行为存在偏差,经济状况、社会保障和抚养条件的改善均会提升独生父母的再生育意愿。此外,由于机会成本更大,独生父母中女性的生育意愿显著低于男性。基于此,提出政府、社会和家庭三个主体从物质条件和生育文化两方面着手提升独生父母再生育意愿的建议。

     

    Abstract: It is generally believed that couples who are the only one child are more likely to have less children. This article focuses on the fertility intentions of single parents, comprehensively examining the influencing factors from four dimensions: economic factors, social factors, intergenerational support, and cultural beliefs. The study found that fertility beliefs have changed with the development of economy and society. The main reason why contemporary couples who are the only one child choose to have another child is "parental love and companionship for existing children" while the concept of "raising children to support the elderly" has weakened. At the same time, the fertility intentions of these couples are low but have the potential to increase. There is a deviation between the fertility ideals and actual fertility behavior among most couples who have already had a child. Improvements in economic conditions, social security, and parenting conditions can enhance their fertility intentions. Additionally, due to higher opportunity costs, the fertility intentions of women are significantly lower than those of men. Based on this, the article proposes recommendations for the government, society, and families to enhance the fertility intentions of being-only-one-child couples from both material conditions and fertility culture aspects.

     

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