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CN 51-1675/C

李强, 左静娴, 魏巍. 基于技术进步和结构调整视角的能源回弹效应研究——来自安徽的例证[J]. 西华大学学报(哲学社会科学版), 2017, 36(5): 54-60.
引用本文: 李强, 左静娴, 魏巍. 基于技术进步和结构调整视角的能源回弹效应研究——来自安徽的例证[J]. 西华大学学报(哲学社会科学版), 2017, 36(5): 54-60.
LI Qiang, ZUO Jing-xian, WEI Wei. A Research on the Effect of Energy Rebound Based on Technological Progress and Structural Adjustment:a Case Study in Anhui Province[J]. Journal of Xihua University (Philosophy & Social Sciences) , 2017, 36(5): 54-60.
Citation: LI Qiang, ZUO Jing-xian, WEI Wei. A Research on the Effect of Energy Rebound Based on Technological Progress and Structural Adjustment:a Case Study in Anhui Province[J]. Journal of Xihua University (Philosophy & Social Sciences) , 2017, 36(5): 54-60.

基于技术进步和结构调整视角的能源回弹效应研究——来自安徽的例证

A Research on the Effect of Energy Rebound Based on Technological Progress and Structural Adjustment:a Case Study in Anhui Province

  • 摘要: 本文将能源消费回弹效应分解为技术进步的回弹效应和结构调整的回弹效应,在此基础上,基于安徽省1996—2015年数据对安徽省技术进步和结构调整的回弹效应进行了测算。结果发现:技术进步回弹效应明显存在,且有7年的技术进步回弹效应介于1.5%~59%之间;有8年的结构调整回弹效应介于4%~84%之间,且不同年份其回弹效应存在较大差异;引入结构调整回弹效应后,技术进步回弹效应有所降低,且结构调整的回弹效应大于技术进步的回弹效应。本文研究的启示性意义在于,技术进步和结构调整回弹效应是能源消费不断增加的重要因素。

     

    Abstract: This paper divides the rebound effect of energy consumption into the rebound effect of technological progress and the rebound effect of structural adjustment. Based on the data of Anhui Province from 1996 to 2015, the rebound effect of technological progress and structural adjustment in Anhui Province was calculated, the results showing that the rebound effect of technological progress exists significantly. The rebound effect of technological progress in most years ranged from 2% to 60%, with the rebound effect of structural adjustment between 4% to 84%, and there is a big difference in rebound effect in different years. After the introduction of structural adjustment rebound effect, the technological progress of the rebound effect has been reduced and the structural adjustment of the rebound effect is greater than the rebound effect of technological progress. The significance of this study is that technical progress and structural adjustment-rebound effect is an important factor in the increasing energy consumption.

     

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